Инвесторы в режиме ожидания по рублю

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Спекулянты предпочли сделать паузу и посмотреть за динамикой рубля. За неделю их длинные позиции практически не изменились, сократившись всего на 96 контрактов или на 240 млн. рублей. По состоянию на 29 ноября общий объем средств хедж-фондов, вложенных во фьчерсы на российскую валюту, составляет 23,1 тыс. контрактов, что эквивалентно 57,9 млрд. рублям. Количество коротких позиций опустилось до 1,16 тыс. контрактов.

Открытые позиции участников торгов по рублю (Chicago M.Ex., Leveraged funds)


Failed to find diagram 3762.

Источник: cftc.gov

Некоммерческие участники торгов отказываются продавать рубли вот уже вторую неделю, таким образом, пока не веря в его ослабление.

А вот 4 крупнейших трейдера по рублю ставят на его падение. 3-я неделя подряд, когда коротких позиций у них открыто больше, чем длинных.

Позиции трейдеров по рублю (Chicago M.Ex., Consolidated, Топ-4)


Failed to find diagram 3765.

Источник: cftc.gov

Резюме

Пока российская валюта практически не реагирует на рост нефти. Вполне возможно, это вызвано тем, что компании активно выплачивают свои внешние долги, что нивелирует приток средств в страну. Также стабильность рубля помогает властям наполнить бюджет новыми доходами.

 

Как быть в курсе всех обновлений?

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Другая статистика:

  1. Позиции трейдеров по нефти
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