Турция столкнулась с проблемами, похожими на наши

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Турецкий президент призвал центральный банк страны снизить процентные ставки, а кредитные организации попросил уменьшить стоимость заимствования. Это все происходит на фоне стремительного падения лиры, которая с начала года ослабла по отношению к доллару на 18%, что ставит банки в затруднительное положение.

Объем проблемных долгов в Турции вырос до максимума за последние 7 лет. У некоторых кредиторов, таких как Akbank TAS и Turk Ekonomi Bankasi AS, он вырос на 30% и всего лишь за квартал.

Объем плохих долгов (млн. турецких лир; квартал)


2

Источник: Bloomberg

Проблема заключается в том, что большинство местных компаний заняли средства в долларах, таким образом из-за падения турецкой валюты им теперь необходимо отдавать больше.

За 9 месяцев 2016 г. объем кредитов нефинансовыми организациями вырос на 7% по сравнению с концом 2015 г. и достиг 148,7 млрд. долларов. На долг, номинированный в валюте, приходится более половины, а именно 53%, всех заимствований.

Слабая лира уже послужила причиной невыплаты в срок 290 млн. долларов по кредиту, предоставленному владельцу крупнейшего оператора телефонной связи Турции, передает агентство Bloomberg.

Резюме

Учитывая просьбу президента Реджепа Эрдогана, центральный банк государства Средиземного моря находится в очень затруднительном положении. С одной стороны, для сдерживания падения курса национально валюты он должен пойти на ужесточение монетарной политики, а с другой, это скажется на росте экономики Турции.

Напомним, что за 2 года лира потеряла к доллару 68%. Таким образом, соседняя с нами страна столкнулась с проблемами, которые навалились на Россию в 2014 г.

 

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В статье использовались материалы: Souring Loans Strain Turkish Banks Pressed by Erdogan to Lend (Bloomberg, 2016)

Автор: Ercan Ersoy и Constntine Courcoulas

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